Conf = Atlantic Coast Region = South State = NC
Nickname = Tar Heels Coach = Jenny LevyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 98.2296677 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 211 H James Madison Colonial (19- 3, 96.7) 14- 9 215 H Liberty Atlantic Sun (12- 7, 90.8) 18- 6 218 H Florida American (17- 4, 95.9) 12- 5 224 A Virginia Tech Atlantic Coas (10- 9, 92.6) 10- 6 303 H Boston College Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 98.4) 16- 5 311 H Virginia Atlantic Coas (11- 7, 94.7) 17-12 316 A Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 5-12, 90.2) 20- 7 319 A Northwestern Big Ten (19- 1, 99.9) 9-13 323 H High Point Big South ( 8-10, 84.6) 22- 4 326 H Clemson Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 93.1) 17- 8 401 A Notre Dame Atlantic Coas (15- 6, 96.4) 12-16 407 H Pittsburgh Atlantic Coas ( 4-13, 87.4) 16- 3 411 A East Carolina American (10- 8, 90.9) 12- 9 415 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (18- 2, 99.1) 12-14 420 A Duke Atlantic Coas ( 8-10, 93.2) 13-12 426 H Clemson Atlantic Coas (12- 6, 93.1) 16- 6 428 H Syracuse Atlantic Coas (18- 2, 99.1) 15- 9 430 A Boston College Atlantic Coas (18- 3, 98.4) 9-11 512 H Sacred Heart Northeast (11- 8, 85.0) 16- 5 514 H Richmond Atlantic 10 (17- 4, 93.9) 16-12 518 H Denver Big East (22- 0, 96.8) 4- 5PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 211 H James Madison 14- 9 5 2 + 2.62 215 H Liberty 18- 6 12 8 0.00 218 H Florida 12- 5 7 3 + 3.79 224 A Virginia Tech 10- 6 4 4 -0.76 303 H Boston College 16- 5 11 0 +++ 6.31 311 H Virginia 17-12 5 4 0.54 316 A Louisville 20- 7 13 7 0.00 319 A Northwestern 9-13 -4 -2 -1.47 323 H High Point 22- 4 18 14 0.00 326 H Clemson 17- 8 9 5 1.00 401 A Notre Dame 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.97 407 H Pittsburgh 16- 3 13 11 0.00 411 A East Carolina 12- 9 3 6 - -3.44 415 H Syracuse 12-14 -2 0 - -2.01 420 A Duke 13-12 1 4 - -3.12 426 H Clemson 16- 6 10 5 1.00 428 H Syracuse 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.99 430 A Boston College 9-11 -2 -1 -0.93 512 H Sacred Heart 16- 5 11 14 0.00 514 H Richmond 16-12 4 5 -1.23 518 H Denver 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.35UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 401 A Notre Dame 12-16 -4 0 -- -4.97 411 A East Carolina 12- 9 3 6 - -3.44 415 H Syracuse 12-14 -2 0 - -2.01 420 A Duke 13-12 1 4 - -3.12 518 H Denver 4- 5 -1 2 - -3.35OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 303 H Boston College 16- 5 11 0 +++ 6.31 428 H Syracuse 15- 9 6 0 ++ 5.99 211 H James Madison 14- 9 5 2 + 2.62 218 H Florida 12- 5 7 3 + 3.79
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 98.25 Power Rank................. 4 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 85.63 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 3 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7968 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 1 RPI Rating............... .6890 RPI Rank................... 5 Champ. Probability ...... 0.0 Championship Rank ......... 106 Selection sum ........... 13 Selection Rank ............ 4 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 130. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 6 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 120. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 14.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 8.4 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.7 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 4.5 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 3- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 7.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.7